IB Cognito

Unit 3.1- Measuring Economic Activity

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Circular Flow of Income Model

Households and Firms Interactions:

Households provide factors of production (labor, land, capital) to firms in exchange for income (wages, rent, etc.).

Example: A factory (firm) hires workers (households) and pays them wages, which they then spend on goods and services.

Firms Produce Goods and Services for Households:

Firms use the factors of production to create goods/services for sale to households.

Example: A local bakery sells bread to consumers.

Government Role:

Collects Taxes: Governments collect taxes from both households (income tax) and firms (corporate tax).

Provides Public Goods and Services: Governments provide public goods (infrastructure, education, healthcare) funded by taxes.

Example: Schools and hospitals are funded by tax revenue.

Circular Flow of Income Model: Expanded

Injections: Additions to the economy, which include:

  • Investment (I): Spending on capital goods (e.g., machinery).
  • Government Spending (G): Expenditure on public services (e.g., infrastructure projects).
  • Exports (X): Sale of goods/services to other countries.

Leakages: Withdrawals from the economy, which include:

  • Savings (S): Income not spent on consumption.
  • Taxes (T): Income paid to the government.
  • Imports (M): Purchase of goods/services from other countries. 

Circular Flow of Income (Expanded) Diagram:

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National Income Accounting

Methods of Measurement:

  1. Output Method: Measures total value of goods and services produced in an economy. Example: A country’s total output of cars, textiles, and software is calculated to find GDP.
  2. Income Method: Measures total income earned by factors of production (wages, rents, interests, and profits).Example: Salaries paid to workers, dividends to shareholders contribute to national income.
  3.  Expenditure Method: Total spending on goods and services, calculated using the formula: GDP = C + I + G + (X – M) where:
    1. C: Consumption by households
    1. I: Investment by businesses
    1. G: Government spending
    1. (X – M): Net exports (exports minus imports)

Main Concepts:

  • GDP (Gross Domestic Product): Measures the economic performance of a country.
  • Example: The United States had a GDP of approximately $21 trillion in 2021.
  • GNI (Gross National Income): GDP plus net income from abroad (e.g., remittances).
  • Example: If a country’s GDP is $500 billion and it receives $50 billion from citizens working abroad, GNI would be $550 billion.
  • Nominal vs. Real GDP: Nominal is measured at current prices; real is adjusted for inflation.
  • Example: If nominal GDP is $1 trillion and inflation is 2%, real GDP is approximately $980 billion.
  • GDP per capita: GDP divided by population, indicating average economic output per person.
  • Example: A country with a GDP of $1 trillion and a population of 100 million has a GDP per capita of $10,000.

Green GDP

Concept:

  • Green GDP adjusts GDP for environmental costs of production, such as pollution and depletion of natural resources.
  • Example: If a country has a nominal GDP of $2 trillion but incurs $300 billion in environmental costs, its Green GDP would be $1.7 trillion.

Importance:

  • Highlights the sustainability and environmental impact of economic activities.
  • Encourages policies that account for ecological damage and promote sustainable development.
  • Example: Countries like China are increasingly adopting Green GDP measures to balance economic growth with environmental protection.

The Business Cycle Diagram: 

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Key Concepts:

  • Expansion: Economic activity rises; unemployment decreases; consumer spending increases.
  • Example: Post-2008 financial crisis recovery, where GDP growth resumed.
  • Peak: The economy reaches its maximum output before decline; inflation may rise.
  • Example: The U.S. experienced a peak in the economy in early 2020 before the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Contraction: Economic activity slows; GDP declines; unemployment rises.
  • Example: The 2020 recession caused by the COVID-19 pandemic led to significant economic contraction globally.
  • Trough: Lowest point of economic activity before recovery.
    • Example: The 2008 financial crisis had a trough in economic activity in 2009 before recovery began.
  • Long-term Growth:
  • Shows the overall trend of increasing GDP over time, despite short-term fluctuations.
  • Example: The U.S. economy has shown long-term growth despite experiencing multiple recessions.

The Use of National Income Data

  • Uses:
  • Government: National income data informs policy-making, budget allocations, and economic planning. Example: A government may use GDP data to decide on infrastructure investments.
  • Businesses: Companies analyze national income data for market trends, investment opportunities, and consumer behavior. Example: A tech company might invest more in a country with rising GDP growth and increasing disposable income.
  • Economists: Researchers use national income data to study economic performance and forecast future trends. Example: Economists analyze GDP growth rates to predict economic conditions for the upcoming year.

Limitations of National Income Data:

  1. Comparisons: Differences in data collection methods, exchange rates can distort comparisons. Example: GDP figures may not be directly comparable between countries with different measurement techniques.
  2. Non-market Activities: GDP excludes unpaid work and informal sector contributions. Example: Volunteer Work and household chores, which contribute to societal well-being, are not included in the GDP.
  3. Quality of Life: GDP does not account for happiness, health, or environmental quality. Example: Countries with high GDP may still struggle with issues like pollution and inequality.

Other Measures of Economic Activity

  • Human Development Index (HDI): A composite measure that evaluates health (life expectancy), education (mean years of schooling), and standard of living (GNI per capita).
  • Example: Norway consistently ranks high on the HDI due to its strong healthcare and education systems.
  • Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI): Measures economic progress by factoring in environmental and social costs.
  • Example: GPI adjusts GDP by considering costs of crime, pollution, and family work.
  • Happy Planet Index (HPI): Measures well-being and environmental impact, reflecting the efficiency with which countries deliver long, happy lives.
  • Example: Countries like Costa Rica often score high on the HPI due to their focus on happiness and sustainability.
  • Formula:

Income Distribution

Measurement:

  • Lorenz Curve: Graph representing income distribution; the further the curve from the diagonal line of equality, the greater the inequality.
  • Example: A Lorenz Curve for a country with significant wealth disparity would be more bowed outward.
  • Gini Coefficient: A numerical measure of income inequality ranging from 0 (perfect equality) to 1 (perfect inequality).
  • Example: A Gini coefficient of 0.25 indicates relatively equal income distribution, while a coefficient of 0.55 suggests high inequality (e.g., South Africa).

Lorenz Curve and Gini Coefficient diagram:

Lorenz Curve

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Gini Coefficient

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Evaluating Economic Measures:

GDP:

  • Strength: A widely used indicator of economic performance.
  • Weakness: Does not reflect income distribution or well-being.
  • Example: Countries like the U.S. may have high GDP but significant wealth gaps. 

Green GDP

  • Strength: Incorporates environmental costs.
  • Weakness: Difficult to measure and calculate accurately.
  • Example: China’s efforts to implement Green GDP face challenges in data collection. 

HDI:

  • Strength: Provides a broader measure of development than GDP alone.
  • Weakness: Still limited in scope as it doesn’t capture all aspects of well-being.
  • Example: A country may have a high HDI but low social equity.

Importance:

  • Understanding these measures helps in making informed economic policies.
  • Recognizes the need for multiple indicators to get a complete picture of economic well-being.

Example: Policymakers may prioritize economic growth while also considering social and environmental factors.